Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Baseball Predictions!

Dodger Stadium by penner42, on Flickr
Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 2.0 Generic License by penner42


Recently, one of my students (an avid Marlin fan and knowing that I am also a baseball fan) asked me which teams were making the playoffs this year. Making the clarification that is too early to make such predictions, I chose the following teams: Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers, and Cardinals from the National League and Blue Jays, Indians, Athletics and Red Sox (this hurts since I am a Yankees' fan!). However, my predictions were based on gut instincts, but if I would have read professor Bruce Bukiet's mathematical model to make baseball predictions, I probably would feel more confident about my predictions. His mathematical model to make baseball predictions have been pretty much accurate every year. Predicting certain events or behaviors based on particular data is one of the most practical applications for learning mathematics. Learn more about Bukiet's mathematical model by clicking the science daily web site link below.

Tight Races In Major League Baseball's Eastern Divisions, Mathematician Predicts
The National League (NL) should see another very tight race in the Eastern
Division as has occurred in recent years.

Bukiet, an associate professor of mathematical sciences and associate dean of
the College of Science and Liberal Arts at NJIT, once again provides the number
of games each Major League Baseball team should win in 2009 based on the
mathematical model he developed in 2000.

His model computes the probability of a team winning a game against another team
with given hitters, bench, starting pitcher, relievers and home field advantage.
Bukiet, an avid Mets fan, has used this mathematical model to determine whether
it is worthwhile to wager on games during the baseball season.
These picks have produced positive results for six of the eight years he has
posted them.
blog it

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Patricia Gonzalez
All my life I have watched baseball and didn't really think it had anything to do with math. Truth is it has alot to do with math. Players stats depend on how many hit, rbi, and humruns they make and that is all averaged out. Calculating the player averages and all the stats takes math. Math is all around us and in every sport.

Anonymous said...

Sports in general, not only baseball are all about statistics. Players batting averages, wins, losses, points per game, assists per game, goals and other stats determine how good a player's career is as he is measured throughout his entire career by these statistics. In baseball, an offensive player's success is determined by the triple crown stats which are home runs, batting avaerage and RBI. All these stats are what determines how good the player is and how much of a living he will make in the league

Geovannie Valdez

ZENG JEAN-JACQUES said...

Who wouldve thought that math is in movies? I love to watch movies and enjoy most of my leisurely time watching movies. Its so cool that Math is what allowed the one of my favorite child hood movies Toy Story come to life. How boring would Woody and Buzz Light Year have been if they just had been a still puppets that never moved and just talked? The thought alone brings tears to my eyes.

Anonymous said...

This is true. Not only in baseball, but in all sports, the outcome of teams entering the playoffs are all based on the teams with the best record. and yu calculate the teams wit the best record by comparing each teams statistics and records. in the nba, before playoff time, the teams with the top 8 teams in the west and the top 8 in the east are matched together based on their stats out of 82 games.
-Mathew Blissett